German lockdowns had ‘no direct connection’ to falling COVID rates

German lockdowns had ‘no direct connection’ to falling COVID rates


Coronavirus lockdowns had “no direct connection” to falling infection rates in Germany — as transmission was already declining before the restrictions were imposed, new research found.

The research, conducted by statisticians at Ludwig Maximilians Munich University, found that the country’s R rate — the number of people an infected person passes the virus to — had already dipped below 1 prior to the national lockdown being imposed last November, according to the Telegraph.

The rate was also decreasing in December and April when the lockdown was tightened, the research found.

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The scientists examined the R number because they viewed it as a more accurate measure than COVID-19 test results in determining the true infection rate within the community, which was what the German government was relying on.

Because the R number was dropping before the national lockdown was imposed, the researchers determined they could not conclusively say that the stay-at-home orders had any significant impact on controlling

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