The 10 Biggest Election Upsets Of 2026 — So Far

With Election Day just over five months away, the 2026 midterm election cycle has already seen a wide range of stunning upsets at the ballot box.

At the time of publication, 16 states have held primary elections, and a handful — including Texas and Florida — have conducted high-profile special elections for state legislative races. Here are 10 times since the new year voters delivered results that shocked analysts and observers alike.

Taylor Rehmet, a 33-year-old union leader and Air Force veteran, closed out the first month of 2026 by flipping a Texas State Senate seat President Donald Trump carried by 17 percentage points in the 2024 presidential race. Rehmet defeated Trump-backed Republican Leigh Wambsganss, the chief communications officer of conservative wireless carrier Patriot Mobile, in the special election.

Rehmet bested Wambsganss in the Fort Worth-based district by margin of more than 14 points, according to The Associated Press (AP),