Here’s Where the Redistricting Wars Stand as the 2026 Midterms Approach

Republicans currently have a net potential 10 to 12-seat advantage in the congressional redistricting fights taking place in different states around the country.

The University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, headed by Larry Sabato, puts the Republicans’ U.S. House net gains anywhere from six to 10 seats.

Politico sees the possibility of the Republicans netting 12 seats in the redistricting wars — though, like the Center for Politics, the outlet cannot predict which party will control the House after November’s elections.

Democrats, who have aggressively gerrymandered for years in blue states, so far this election cycle have only had a potential four or five-seat pick-up in California and one in Utah, due to a court ruling, according to the Center for Politics.

There isn’t a single Republican congressional house member in all of New England. (Susan Collins is the only Republican in the senate from any of these states.)