Bitcoin’s May setup is drawing fresh attention after two consecutive green months, with Trader_XO pointing to seasonality data that leaves BTC on the edge of a rare three-month streak. The question is whether the historical pattern has real market weight this time, or whether the latest geopolitical shock has already complicated the signal.
Bitcoin Eyes Rare Three-Month Winning Streak
The Coinglass data shared by Trader_XO shows Bitcoin’s monthly returns by year, with 2026 so far marked by a sharp early-year drawdown followed by a recovery phase. BTC fell 10.17% in January and another 14.94% in February, before turning higher with a 1.81% gain in March and an 11.87% advance in April. May is shown up 3.18% so far, keeping the month positive at the time of the snapshot.
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“Bitcoin seasonality, with context,” Trader_XO wrote. “May stats: Positive ~60% of the time (8/13 years). Avg return: ~+8%. Median return: ~+3%. Only
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