By Isaac • October 1, 2026 7:22 pm •
Bitcoin has entered the month traders love to call “Uptober.” This time, the seasonal slogan has to compete with a very real macro obstacle: Treasury yields above 5%.
Bitcoin started October near $83,800 after gaining 6.33% in September. That was a strong month, even though a late pullback kept it from setting a new September record.
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Decrypt notes that October has delivered an average crypto-market return of 19.92% and a median return of 14.71% since 2013. But seasonality is a tendency, not a guarantee.
October 2025 finished down 3.69%, only the third losing October in that span.
The same report places the market’s opening setup in a narrow range. Bitcoin opened the day near $83,588, traded
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