Accusations of insider trading on Maduro operation bring prediction markets in focus

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The daring Jan. 3 capture of Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro took most people by surprise, a testament to the secrecy that surrounded the complex military operation.

But one bettor on Polymarket, one of the biggest prediction markets, appeared to have foreknowledge.

The user’s account was created in December and only bet on four Venezuela-related contracts, shelling out more than $30,000 and winning over $400,000.

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Soon, other bettors raised questions began about whether this mystery Polymarket