A few days before November’s presidential election, Ann Selzer, then considered the gold standard of polling in politics, released a highly anticipated poll for the Des Moines Register on where the presidential race stood in Iowa.
While the poll came from a state not expected to have a decisive role in the outcome of the election — Iowa is reliably red — its findings were expected to show clues as to how certain demographics would break nationwide.
Selzer’s results sent shock waves through politics. Former Vice President Kamala Harris was up 3 percentage points over President Donald Trump in a state everyone considered to be a walk for Trump.
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The poll results immediately had reporters scrambling, with gushing Harris-November surprise storylines in the New York
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