
There is a growing trend toward underrating Vice President JD Vance’s chances of winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after months where he was the consensus pick.
President Donald Trump has reportedly perked up his interest in Secretary of State Marco Rubio as an alternative, for whom selling the Iran war is a more comfortable fit than for Vance. If Trump remains unpopular, some Republicans don’t want a repeat of the Democrats’ failed attempt to pass the baton from then-President Joe Biden to then-Vice President Kamala Harris. There are even reports that Vance, whose wife Usha is expecting their fourth child, is undecided about whether to run for president in the next election.
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Every bad donor interaction or Vance joke that doesn’t land or a controversial podcaster comment he doesn’t denounce becomes magnified.
It’s true: the Iran war scrambles Republican electoral prospects this year and beyond; the mercurial Trump will be reluctant
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