“It shows we’re way too predictable,” she said during a Thursday event at the University of Alabama School of Law. “And we may not be stepping out of our normal thinking and opening our minds to new ideas enough if something like an AI system can actually predict with that high a level of success what the outcome will be.”
The 71-year-old liberal justice did not point to any specific AI models, such as Anthropic’s Claude or OpenAI’s ChatGPT, responsible for predicting the outcome of certain cases but noted she was made aware of the topic by a colleague.
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A machine-learning algorithm accurately predicted 71.9% of the justices’ votes and 70.2% of the high court’s decisions between 1816 and 2015, according to a 2017 peer-reviewed study. That success rate may be higher now that AI models have progressed significantly since then.
Sotomayor is cautious about how the rapidly advancing technology will
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