Possible Israeli insider places high stakes Polymarket bet on war against Iran by Jan. 31

Possible Israeli insider places high stakes Polymarket bet on war against Iran by Jan. 31


A Polymarket account, which has sparked rumors of insider information after successfully gambling on Israeli and US military operations over the last six months, placed a new, high stakes wager on war with Iran by month’s end.

The account, now renamed Rundeep, joined the current-events-based gambling website in June 2025 and has racked up over $154,219 while wagering exclusively on Israeli and US military actions.

The biggest win came on June 13 — days after the account was made — with Rundeep making more than $128,700 betting that Israel would take military action against Iran.

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Israeli soldiers patrol the streets of the occupied West Bank during a military operation on Nov. 26. AFP via Getty Images

That outcome was considered just 14% likely prior

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