NYT: Polls May Be Headed For Another Major Miss, Overstating Dem Support In Battleground States

NYT: Polls May Be Headed For Another Major Miss, Overstating Dem Support In Battleground States


The New York Times’ chief political analyst said Monday that the 2022 midterms may be yet another massive miss for the polling industry.

Democrats have been surging in the polls in several key battleground states. But, in an article entitled “Yes, the Polling Warning Signs Are Flashing Again,” New York Times Chief Political Analyst Nate Cohn said that the same errors in data collection that vastly overstated Democratic support in the 2020 election are cropping up again in the same areas in recent polling, meaning that Democrats may not be as strong as polls indicate.

Cohn began his article with a data table from 2020 showing the gap between media and university polling and the actual election results in 11 battleground states. Among the more egregious errors:

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