President Trump has work to do to ensure he can replicate his strong 2016 showing among working-class white voters, crucial to his Electoral College victory, this fall.
While Trump remains the heavy favorite among this voting bloc, public polling suggests his margins are smaller, and turnout, especially in the battleground states, will be key.
This runs counter to the conventional wisdom that has prevailed since Trump announced his candidacy for the GOP presidential nomination in 2015. Some Republicans feared he would reduce the party’s share of the Hispanic vote as dramatically and enduringly as Barry Goldwater did with the black vote in 1964 and that there simply weren’t enough white voters available to offset this loss.
But Trump held and even slightly improved on Mitt Romney’s share of most minority voting blocs, including Hispanics, while taking the disproportionately white working-class Rust Belt away from the Democrats. A number of polls taken this year suggest he has actually