Marist Poll: Independents Swing 28 Points Toward Donald Trump in 4 Years

Marist Poll: Independents Swing 28 Points Toward Donald Trump in 4 Years


Independent voters have swung 28 points away from President Joe Biden and toward former President Donald Trump since 2020, an NPR/Marist poll revealed Wednesday.

The dramatic shift over four years is terrible news for Biden’s reelection campaign, which is facing dreadful polling numbers on nearly all fronts.

During the course of Biden’s presidency, the poll found Biden’s approval among independents went down 12 points, while Trump’s approval shot up 16 points:

2020: Biden 57 percent (+21) Trump 36 percent 2024: Trump 52 percent (+7) Biden 45 percent

The poll shows Biden leading Trump by two points but within the margin of error:

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Biden: 50 percent Trump: 48 percent

The poll sampled 1,305 adults from March 25-28, 2024, with a ± 3.5

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