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In the March 27, 2025 analysis, titled “Where is Bitcoin headed next? A Signal hidden in Real-Time Data,” Truflation highlights a recurring phenomenon: each time its inflation index experiences a pronounced downtrend that later pauses or reverses, Bitcoin has tended to surge soon afterward.
Where Is Bitcoin Headed Next?
Truflation’s research points to a backdrop shaped by the aftermath of COVID-19, when central banks worldwide slashed interest rates to almost zero and funneled liquidity into the economy. That period of easy money overlapped with Bitcoin’s run to all-time highs in 2021. By 2022 and 2023, however, persistent inflation took hold, prompting the US Federal Reserve to reverse course. Interest rate hikes
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