Goldman Sachs walks back recession prediction after Trump pauses tariffs

Goldman Sachs walks back recession prediction after Trump pauses tariffs


Goldman Sachs reversed its prediction that the United States will enter a recession following President Donald Trump‘s decision to pause reciprocal tariffs on dozens of countries for 90 days. 

“Earlier today, before President Trump’s announcement, we had shifted to a recession baseline in response to the additional country-specific tariffs that went into effect this morning,” the Goldman Sachs team, led by Jan Hatzius, said Wednesday. “We are now reverting to our previous non-recession baseline forecast.”

Goldman Sachs issued the note at 2:10 p.m., less than an hour after Trump announced his pause as the administration engages in negotiations with foreign trading partners.

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After Trump announced the 90-day pause, the stock market soared. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose over 2,600 points or nearly 7%, the S&P

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