Margin trading allows investors to borrow stablecoins or cryptocurrency to leverage their position and improve the expected return. For example, borrowing Tether (USDT) will allow one to buy Bitcoin, thus increasing their Bitcoin (BTC) long position in.
Investors can also borrow BTC to margin trade a short position, thus betting on price downside. This is why some analysts monitor the total lending amounts of Bitcoin and Tether to gain insight into whether investors are leaning bullish or bearish.
Are analysts flipping bearish based only on Bitfinex’s margin data?
This week some prominent analysts cited a surge in Bitcoin short positions at Bitfinex, peaking at 6,621 BTC on June 7. As Cointelegraph reported, independent researcher Fomocap found a visible correlation between margined short positions and the May 19 price crash.
However, when analyzing a broader scene, including the margin longs, perpetual contracts funding rate, and protective put options, there is no evidence of prominent players preparing for a surprise negative move.
A single instance of