Bitcoin (BTC) should cost at least $55,000 per coin according to one metric measuring its so-called “supply shock.”
In a tweet on Sep. 5, analyst Willy Woo highlighted what he added is a “conservative” price estimate for BTC/USD.
Bitcoin price plays catch-up with metrics
While Bitcoin has still not established $50,000 as firm support, on-chain metrics have been much more firmly bullish for some time.
Now, the so-called “supply shock valuation model” has joined them, giving a conservative price estimate of $55,000.
Supply shock is simply the unavailable BTC supply divided by the available BTC supply. This goes deeper than at first glance, as Woo uses it to effectively “wave a magic wand and gauge the intent of investors before the bids and offers are even placed.”
“In this view of demand and supply, an investor who has no intention to sell is on the demand side while an investor who is willing to sell is on the supply side,” he explained in a