A new CBS News poll showed Democratic presidential nominee Joseph R. Biden leading President Trump in two states the Republican incumbent won four years ago — Arizona and Wisconsin.
Mr. Biden holds a 3 percentage point lead in Arizona, 50%-47%, which is within the poll’s 4.1% margin of error. In Wisconsin, Mr. Biden leads Mr. Trump 51%-46%, with a 3.5% margin of error.
“We see a big lead for Joe Biden among ballots that have already been cast in both Arizona and Wisconsin,” said Anthony Salvanto, CBS News elections & surveys director, on CBS’ “Face The Nation.” “I suspect when we get to election night we may say that Joe Biden has a lead on ballots that have been cast already and then it’s a question of how many of the president’s supporters will turn up on Election Day to try to put him over the top.”
The big lead Mr. Salvanto identified in ballots already cast refers to