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THE MOST UNCERTAIN PRESIDENTIAL PICTURE EVER. The 2024 presidential election is three years from now. But it is dominating current politics even more than the next midterm elections, which are less than a year away. That is because of a set of unique — truth be told, bizarre — conditions of U.S. presidential politics on both the Democratic and Republican sides.
Start with the Democrats. A first-term president is expected, assumed, to be running for reelection. He has clout because he 1.) just got elected, and 2.) might be elected again. We call a president who no longer has the possibility of