Bob Ehrlich: My Favorite Pollster Gave Trump a 30% Chance in 2016; Now He's Giving Trump 40%

Bob Ehrlich: My Favorite Pollster Gave Trump a 30% Chance in 2016; Now He's Giving Trump 40%


The vast majority of my professional friends are lawyers, lobbyists, public officials or those otherwise engaged in some aspect of politics or public policy.

Taken together, these groups are known as the “chattering class.” It is not a sympathetic moniker. Moreover, we (I include myself), of course, inhabit “the swamp.”

The latter may be my favorite pejorative of all time because everybody says they hate the place, yet it never gets eradicated.

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The inconvenient reason being that although everyone loves to castigate the political class, most folks (be they mail carriers, plumbers, doctors, real estate agents, secretaries, stevedores, nurses, steelworkers, gravediggers, stockbrokers, wind turbine salesmen, police, business owners, journalists, carpenters or you fill in the blank) want their views reflected on Capitol Hill. But I digress.

Currently, with precious few exceptions, the aforementioned occupants of the swamp fervently believe Joe Biden will easily carry the day on Nov. 3. We know this because the swamp’s official media organs —

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