Bitcoin is changing hands at prices almost 40% below its modeled “energy value,” yet an unusual confluence of technical, fundamental and policy signals suggests the market may be turning, according to Charles Edwards, founder of the quantitative crypto hedge fund Capriole Investments. In his latest newsletter, Edwards argues that a newly-formed “Triple Put”—simultaneous backstops from the White House, the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury—has altered the risk profile for all risk assets just as on-chain and macro indicators for Bitcoin flip decisively higher.
Bitcoin Flips Bullish
Edwards begins with sentiment, describing it as “in the pits.” The American Association of Individual Investors’ bull–bear spread, he notes, is “as bearish as 2009 and the 2022 lows, and significantly worse than the 2020 Covid crash,” even
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