President Trump’s opportunity to recapture North Carolina is “on a knife’s edge,” pollsters and strategists say.
Trump won the state against Hillary Clinton by less than 4% of the vote in 2016, but demographic shifts may this year shift the balance in Democratic nominee Joe Biden’s favor.
“We’ve added about a million new voters since 2016,” said David McLennan, director of the statewide Meredith Poll. “It’s not the same state that the president ran in four years ago and won.”
McLennan pointed to “new voters of color, younger voters, and people living in urban areas,” adding that compared to 2016, Trump seems to have lost traction in the suburbs.
“They were key to the president winning four years ago, and it looks like they may help Joe Biden in this year,” McLellan said.
But one longtime political organizer in the state, a Republican, said that Republican voters show more reticence today to share their vote publicly than